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Article name & author

Automaker Roadmap for Climate Scenario Analysis

Author: Ceres, Doug Cogan, Joe Kruger

Industry Group: Automobiles and Components

Research / Insights - 2020

Ceres commissioned this framework to provide guidance for automakers in conducting and utilizing climate scenario analysis in strategic planning and product development. It promotes transparent and consistent methodological approaches to facilitate comparisons with scenarios issued by independent scientific bodies and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Electric and fuel efficient vehicles, and the use of autonomous and shared vehicles are examples of many factors to be considered in achieving climate scenario outcomes of well below 2°C, with an aspiration toward a 1.5ºC warming limit. All scenarios should be dynamic, challenge conventional wisdom, acknowledge uncertainties and support contingency plans for the most effective, durable and resilient responses to climate change. The methodological approaches are consistent with the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and other initiatives for reporting climate-related risks and opportunities to investors.

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Keywords: Board oversight, Climate-related opportunities, Climate-related risk, Financial impacts, Metrics/indicators, Physical risks, Scenario analysis
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